The Muck: Could/Should You Fold Kings Preflop on the Main Event Final Table Bubble?
“It feels like you can’t get away from kings, but you can,” Maria Ho said.
“You cannot,” Norman Chad cheekily replied.
It was the stone bubble of the WSOP Main Event final table, and ESPN’s commentators were in disbelief. But hole cards don't lie.
With the blinds at 300K/600K/100K, Nicolas Manion raised under the gun to 1,500,000 with pocket aces. Antoine Labat, who had 51,250,000 and pocket kings, called in middle position. Yueqi Zhu, who also had two kings, moved all-in for 24,700,000 from the hijack.
Once the action was back on Manion, who had 43,000,000, he announced all-in himself and Labat asked for a count. Labat shook his head and muttered to himself. Could he really fold pocket kings preflop on the bubble of the Main Event final table?
“This is a sick spot,” Lon McEachern said.
Labat tanked for about two minutes and...well, see for yourself:
The final table bubble you need to see to believe. A three-way all-in brings the 2018 @WSOP Main Event field down…
— Poker Central (@PokerCentral)
Labat Weighs in
After a harmless J♦7♣4♣3♠J♣ runout, Manion rocketed to 112,775,000, just surpassing the 109,175,000 of longtime leader Michael Dyer. Zhu was eliminated in 10th place for $850,025. Labat was left with 8,050,000 chips and plenty of questions.
He was, of course, thrilled to make the final table, even if he would be the short stack. At the same time, he second-guessed his decision to call with kings.
“If I fold, it’s going to look so crazy," Labat said. "But I had this feeling like, he has it.”
The Poker Community Responds
Did Labat make a good or a bad call? Plenty of people have chimed in.
Imagine making the WSOP Main Event final table and all anyone wants to talk about is that you should have folded kings preflop.
— Max Silver (@max_silver)
@dannyslewis @max_silver It really really is not.
— Jimmy Fricke (@jvfricke)
I ran ICM numbers assuming Zhu had JJ-KK AK and Manion QQ-AA; calling with KK loses ~$350k equity.
— Ryan Daut (@rcdaut)
While debates swarmed Poker Twitter, Two Plus Two poster Nerd E Tron started a new thread:
Manion's Own Heroic Fold
Are you searching for someone who's folded kings preflop? Look no further than Nicolas Manion himself. Only a day before the epic hand in question, Manion folded kings preflop when Alex Lynskey five-bet-shoved all-in.
“I’ve shown nothing but nut hands today, and he shoved all-in for 16 million,” Manion explained. “To me, that’s just one hand and one hand only, so I’m not going to put my tournament life on kings when I’m 99 percent sure he has aces.”
And then, in a fascinating reversal, it was Manion who lived the dream on the final table bubble:
When I got both calls I couldn’t even believe it I flipped over my hand and I didn't even stay to see what they ha…
— nic manion (@spewzata)
With six players remaining at the end of Day 8, Manion is in second place. He has 72,250,000 and a chance to ride his epic three-way aces hand to an 8.8 million dollar payday.
As for Labat, he was eliminated in 9th place with—you guessed it—a pair of kings.
In this Series
- 1 The Muck: What Do You Think of Hellmuth’s 1.8 Markup?
- 2 The Muck: Reilly vs Palma, Brunson vs Gorodinsky, and a $200K Video Poker Score
- 3 The Muck: "Check, Bet or Joke?"
- 4 The Muck: Should a Commentator Criticize Play on a Poker Live Stream?
- 5 The Muck: Phil Hellmuth Skips the $50,000 Poker Player’s Championship
- 6 The Muck: Did Couple Foxen & Bicknell Take It Easy on Each Other?
- 7 The Muck: What Is the Modern-Day Poker Dream?
- 8 The Muck: Would You Eat Three Big Macs for 1.5x Starting Stack?
- 9 The Muck: Did You Love or Hate Randall Emmett's Grand Entrance?
- 10 The Muck: Is Missing a Single Hand in a Tournament a Big Deal?
- 11 The Muck: Phil Hellmuth Criticized for Swearing & Speaking Out of Turn
- 12 The Muck: Poker World Celebrates Elimination of Poker Brat from WSOP
- 13 The Muck: Could/Should You Fold Kings Preflop on the Main Event Final Table Bubble?
- 14 The Muck: Should There Have Been a Day Off in 2018 WSOP Main Event?